If Iran worries about sanctions at all, it should be concerned over those that the US is drawing up and not those than the UN is still deliberating over.
There have been hints that the US may enforce its current sanction laws against foreign companies dealing with Iran and the Congress may further tighten the noose.
Now that the EU has dropped its insistence that Iran stop the controversial nuclear work before talks, US and Eu are not on the same negotiating page. The permanent members of the UN Security Council are expected to meet to thrash out methods to put pressure on Iran but hopes for a resolution aren't high.
Maybe some coherent sanctions will come out of the contrary opinions, most likely the travel bans on the political elite, but it will be seen as the empty diplomatic gesture it is with hardly any actual effect.
US efforts on the other hand are looking tougher. Henry Paulson, the Treasury Secretary called for help in choking off funds to Iranian companies that the US suspects of trading in weapons or nuclear components.
He said that there are reports suggesting that more than 30 front companies are part of a suspected network and have duped Western banks into helping them.
For ten years the US has enforced the Iran-Libya Sanctions Act, which bars non-US oil and gas companies from investing more than $20 million a year in Iran. US companies are banned separately from any dealing with Iran by presidential directive.
With Libya's decision to give up its nuclear program, the Act has been redrafted to excise the part about Libya and will expire on September 29. But a new version, dealing with just Iran is sure to be passed.
There are signs that the US may enforce this version more aggressively, and interpret its provisions more widely than in the past. Under the US’s separate Iran Non-Proliferation Act 2000, there has been much action targeting companies from Russia, North Korea, India and Cuba for allegedly supplying banned equipment.
While some energy companies have been deterred by ILSA from investing in Iran, many have flouted it. But if the US takes a tougher approach, with the Congress producing a much more stringent piece of legislation then these companies will have to be more wary.
A much tougher sanctions package on energy companies investing in Iran, The Iran Freedom Support Act, was passed by the House of Representatives early this year. The White House objected on the grounds that the Bill could harm diplomatic relations.
The Bill languishes so far with the Senate not having passed this version. But the bitter elections could revive it, as well as collapse in diplomatic efforts or the furor created in Iran by the Pope's supposed slur on Islam.
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